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Value area low

The lower boundary of the price range containing roughly seventy percent of a session's activity.

The mirror of value-area-high. It marks the bottom of the range where the market spent most of its time and is watched as the lower edge of accepted value.

A common intraday framework is the rule that if price opens outside the previous day's value area and then re-enters it, there is a reasonable tendency to rotate across to the opposite edge. That gives a defined target and a defined invalidation-level, which is more than most chart tools offer.

As always, tendencies are not certainties, and the rule fails plainly on trend days. The value area describes yesterday's agreement; nothing obliges today's participants to honour it.

Related: value-area-high, value-area, market-profile, point-of-control, balance-area

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

The spread of outcomes behind an expectancyA histogram of forty trades: a tall block of small losses on the left, a low spread of larger wins on the right, and a line marking the average outcome.NUMBER OF TRADES051024 LOSSES, AVG −$20016 WINS, AVG +$600EXPECTANCY +$120−$400−$200$0+$200+$400+$600+$800PROFIT OR LOSS PER TRADEexpectancy = (40% × $600) − (60% × $200) = +$120 per trade
Expectancy: the average trade. Forty trades sorted by outcome: 24 small losses and 16 larger wins. Weighting each side by how often it happens gives the average result per trade, marked here by the dashed line at +$120.
A volume profile beside a price chartA price line on the left and, on the right, horizontal bars showing how much volume traded at each price; the longest bar marks the point of control and a shaded band marks the value area.52.051.050.049.0timePRICE OVER TIMEVOLUME AT EACH PRICEVALUE AREAwhere most ofthe volume tradedPOCthe single pricewith the mostvolumeLonger bars mean more shares changed hands at that price.
Volume profile, point of control and value area. Turn the chart on its side and count how much traded at each price instead of at each moment. The longest bar is the point of control, and the shaded band around it is the value area where most of the session's business was done.

Educational only, not advice. Spotted an error? Post in Site Feedback.