Stock Return Characteristics, Skew Laws, and the Differential Pricing of Individual Equity Options
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What they found
The authors derived model-free formulas that recover the risk-neutral skewness and kurtosis of a stock's return distribution from its option prices, and used them to explain why index options have a much steeper volatility skew than individual equity options. They showed that the index's risk-neutral distribution is far more negatively skewed than any individual stock's, because diversification removes idiosyncratic upside but not systematic crash risk, and that the skew is priced: more negatively skewed names have steeper smiles.
See it drawn
Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.
What you can use
- Index options price crash risk much more heavily than single-stock options do; the index skew is steep because crashes are systematic.
- You can read the market's implied skewness and tail expectations directly from the option chain.
- Individual stocks have flatter skews because they have idiosyncratic upside; that is why put protection on single names is relatively cheaper.
Caveats
Mathematically intensive; the skewness measures depend on having liquid options across a range of strikes. Sample from the 1990s.
Tags: options, skew, risk-neutral-distribution, implied-volatility
Summaries are our own reading of the paper, not the authors' words. Educational only, not advice. Discuss it in Book Club.