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Trading journal

A record of every trade with the setup, reasoning, entry, exit, risk, result in R, and what you felt and did.

A journal is the only way to know your real win-rate, expectancy, and which setups pay. It also exposes patterns you cannot see in the moment: overtrading after a loss, exiting winners early, sizing up on tilt.

The minimum is a spreadsheet with date, symbol, direction, entry, stop, exit, R result, and a note. Screenshots of the chart at entry and exit help enormously.

Example: after 100 journaled trades a trader finds that trades taken after 2:00 p.m. have an expectancy of -0.3R while morning trades are +0.5R. Cutting afternoon trades doubles her results.

Related: expectancy, win-rate, process-over-outcome, overtrading

See it drawn

Original diagrams for the ideas on this page. Illustrative, not real market data.

The spread of outcomes behind an expectancyA histogram of forty trades: a tall block of small losses on the left, a low spread of larger wins on the right, and a line marking the average outcome.NUMBER OF TRADES051024 LOSSES, AVG −$20016 WINS, AVG +$600EXPECTANCY +$120−$400−$200$0+$200+$400+$600+$800PROFIT OR LOSS PER TRADEexpectancy = (40% × $600) − (60% × $200) = +$120 per trade
Expectancy: the average trade. Forty trades sorted by outcome: 24 small losses and 16 larger wins. Weighting each side by how often it happens gives the average result per trade, marked here by the dashed line at +$120.

Educational only, not advice. Spotted an error? Post in Site Feedback.