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Mortgage-backed security (MBS)

A bond backed by a pool of mortgages that passes homeowner principal and interest through to holders; agency MBS carry a guarantee against default but not against prepayment.

Agency MBS issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae remove credit risk and leave interest rate risk of an unusual shape. The homeowner holds a free option to refinance at any time, so the investor is short that option and the cash flow schedule is not fixed.

This makes MBS the largest naturally negative-convexity asset class in the world, which is why mortgage hedging flows can amplify moves in Treasury yields: as rates rise, expected prepayments fall, duration extends, and hedgers must sell duration into an already falling market.

Example: a 30-year 5.5% coupon pool has an expected average life of 7 years at current rates. Rates fall 100 basis points, refinancing accelerates, average life shortens to 3 years, and the price gains far less than a 7-year bullet would have.

Related: prepayment-risk, extension-risk, negative-convexity, option-adjusted-spread, tba-market

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